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Norwegian Eliteserien · MW23Ref: Espen Eskås
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lillestrøm 2-2 Molde result, stats and report

Lillestrøm
Drew · xG 1.76
2 – 2
FT 03:35
Drew · xG 2.87
Molde
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Start v Lillestrøm · Sun 1 Nov · Brann v Molde · Sun 1 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LillestrømMoldeNorwegian Eliteserien

The provider forecast gives Molde win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LIL
32.9%
Draw
22.3%
MOL
44.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
69.7%
Over 2.5 goals
70.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Molde win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

33%
22%
45%
32.9%LIL
22.3%Draw
44.9%MOL

Both Teams to Score

70%
Yes 69.7%No 30.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

71%
Yes 70.7%No 29.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
88%
Over 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
49%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-2
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-3
5.7%
0-1
5.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MOL or draw at 56.5%; the most likely half-time state is MOL leading at half-time at 37.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.8%.

Double Chance

1X
40.7%
12
2.7%
X2
56.5%

Half-Time Result

LIL
27.0%
Draw
35.1%
MOL
37.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LIL
Draw
MOL
LIL
18.6%
5.2%
3.5%
Draw
11.0%
11.9%
12.2%
MOL
2.5%
6.3%
28.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.8%
No
91.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.