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Ligue 1 · MW9 Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Lille vs Lens prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
30 Oct
Lille 41%Draw 25%Lens 34%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Lille or Lens?

Lille vs Lens kicks off UK time in Ligue 1. The match is at Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and Lille won it.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Lille has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Lille40.8%
Draw24.9%
Lens34.3%
BTTS yes58.1%

Updated

Over 2.556.6%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
6.5
xG for
9▲ +2.5
Goals
8.5
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
8.3
xG for
9▲ +0.7
Goals
8.9
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
LilleNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Lille recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W10.75
2L11.56
3W21.47
4L20.97
5W11.03
6D20.72
LensNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Lens recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.41
2L11.48
3D21.01
4W31.49
5L00.77
6L12.18
Lille have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 7.2 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Lille generated 6.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 2.5 above that chance total. Lens generated 8.3 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 0.7 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Lille: 6 matches · Lens: 6
Recent team comparison. Lille sample 6; Lens sample 6.
MeasureLilleLens
Goals / game1.51.5
Conceded / game1.171.67
xG / game1.081.38
xG conceded / game1.421.48
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Lille v Lens

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:05
Lille11 starters
1Özer
18Mbemba
4Alexsandro
22Santos
3Ngoy
12Meunier
15Perraud
6Bentaleb
10Haraldsson
21André
8Mbappé
Lens11 starters
32Antonio
2Aguilar
21Haidara
9Saint-Maximin
Out / doubtful
🩹 Saud Abdulhamid injury · 🩹 Ismaëlo Ganiou injury · 🩹 Samson Baidoo injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Lille v Lens · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Lille vs Lens?
    Lille vs Lens takes place on Friday 30 October at 20:05 (UK time) in the Ligue 1 at Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Lens?
    In their last 1 meetings, Lille won 1, Lens won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Lille vs Lens?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Ligue 1 coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Lille vs Lens free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Lille vs Lens are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 30 Oct, 20:05 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.