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Serie A · MW4 Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, LecceRef: Valerio Crezzini
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lecce 3-2 Monza result, stats and report

Lecce
Won · xG 1.16
3 – 2
FT 06:25
Lost · xG 3.03
Monza
Next: Lecce v Juventus · Sun 25 Oct · Torino v Monza · Fri 23 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LecceMonzaSerie A

The provider forecast gives Monza win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Lecce
30.5%
Draw
27.8%
MON
41.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.5%
Over 2.5 goals
48.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Monza win was the highest probability; the match result was Lecce win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

31%
28%
42%
30.5%Lecce
27.8%Draw
41.7%MON

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 52.5%No 47.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 48.1%No 51.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.1%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MON or draw at 53.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.6%.

Double Chance

1X
37.8%
12
8.7%
X2
53.5%

Half-Time Result

Lecce
22.4%
Draw
44.7%
MON
33.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lecce
Draw
MON
Lecce
14.6%
4.2%
2.5%
Draw
10.1%
19.1%
15.5%
MON
1.6%
6.2%
26.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.6%
No
96.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.