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Lecce 3-2 Monza, full time in Serie A. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed.
Lecce won 3-2 against Monza at home, with Lassana Coulibaly scoring twice in a chaotic first half that effectively settled the contest. Monza created plenty but wasted big chances, and a Zeballos free kick in the 89th minute was too little, too late.
Read the reviewNo minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Lecce 3–2 Monza
Lecce won 3-2 against Monza at home, with Lassana Coulibaly scoring twice in a chaotic first half that effectively settled the contest. Monza created plenty but wasted big chances, and a Zeballos free kick in the 89th minute was too little, too late.
Lecce beat Monza 3-2 at home.
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Lecce won against the run of the chances: Lecce 1.16 to Monza 3.03 on expected goals, which favoured Monza.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Monza to win
Result
3:2
Lecce v MON
Lecce beat Monza 3-2 at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare in Serie A. Our model backed Monza at 42% probability and missed. Lecce arrived in form with three wins in their last five matches, while Monza had managed just one draw across the same stretch. Both teams found the net, extending Monza's recent pattern of both sides scoring in every outing. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Lecce v Monza · Serie A ·
More from this competition: Serie A predictions · Serie A odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
The provider forecast gives Monza win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Full-time forecast audit: Monza win was the highest probability; the match result was Lecce win.
Forecast result checked ·
Logged at 2.44 with Matchbook
Matchbook offered 2.44 when we checked at 01:05 on 13 Sept.
Matchbook is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Logged at 2.44 with Matchbook
Matchbook offered 2.44 when we checked at 01:05 on 13 Sept.
Matchbook is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.
The published Tip is a separate ledger from the model forecast above, with its own record.
Open the ledgerAfter 7 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.
