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Ligue 1 · MW7Ref: Aurélien Petit
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This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Le Mans 0-3 Toulouse result, stats and report

Le Mans
Le Mans
Lost · xG 1.24
0 – 3
FT 05:45
Toulouse
Won · xG 1.60
Toulouse
Match review
Next: Le Mans v Monaco · Sun 8 Nov · Marseille v Toulouse · Sun 1 Nov
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Who won Le Mans vs Toulouse?

Le Mans 0-3 Toulouse, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

Toulouse won it 3–0

LE Toulouse

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 05:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Le Mans 0–3 Toulouse

Toulouse were ruthless and clinical at Le Mans on Friday night, winning 3-0 with goals from Jacen Russell-Rowe, Aron Dønnum, and Casper Tengstedt to record a dominant away victory in Ligue 1.

Ligue 1Fri 16 Oct, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result

Toulouse won 3-0 away at Le Mans.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
46'⚽
Jacen Russell-Rowe
AAssist: Aron Dønnum
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Le Mans 1.24 xGToulouse 1.60 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Le Mans to win

38%Missed

Result

Le Mans0:3Toulouse

LE v Toulouse

Our model leaned Le Mans to win at 38%. Le Mans 0-3 Toulouse. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Toulouse dominated Le Mans in Ligue 1, winning 3-0 with goals from Jacen Russell-Rowe, Aron Dønnum, and Casper Tengstedt in the second half. Our model favored a Le Mans win at 38 percent probability, a pick that did not land. Despite Le Mans arriving on a three-game winning streak, Toulouse's recent form proved decisive; the visitors controlled the second half after Russell-Rowe's 46th-minute opener. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Le Mans v Toulouse · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Aron DønnumToulouse★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 64 min8.5
  2. Cristian Cásseres Jr.Toulouse1 assist · 90 min7.9
  3. Rafik MessaliToulouse90 min7.5
  4. Casper Tengstedt1 goal · 90 min7.5
  5. Jacen Russell-RoweToulouse1 goal · 76 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Le MansToulouseLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Le Mans win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LE
37.8%
Draw
31.0%
Toulouse
31.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.8%
Over 2.5 goals
39.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Le Mans win was the highest probability; the match result was Toulouse win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Toulouse, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 10 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Toulouse, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Le Mans, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 10 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Le Mans, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 6 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 3league matches at home unbeaten for Le Mans.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Toulouse.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Toulouse scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Toulouse have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Louis Mafouta has the highest listed average xGOT for Le Mans at 0.97 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Christ Tapé has the highest listed average xGOT for Toulouse at 0.72 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Le Mans vs Toulouse?
    Toulouse beat LE 3-0 in the Ligue 1.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jacen Russell-Rowe opened the scoring in the 46th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jacen Russell-Rowe (46'), Aron Dønnum (59'), Casper Tengstedt (87').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Aurélien Petit officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    LE vs Toulouse kicked off on Friday, 16 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    4 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    LE play Le Mans on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time. Toulouse play Marseille on Sunday, 1 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.