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Ligue 1 · MW9 Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Marseille vs Toulouse prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
1 Nov
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Marseille or Toulouse?

Marseille vs Toulouse kicks off UK time in Ligue 1. The match is at Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and Marseille won it.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Marseille v Toulouse: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
9.4
xG for
8▼ -1.4
Goals
12.1
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
10.7
xG for
9▼ -1.7
Goals
8.6
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
MarseilleNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Marseille recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L11.67
2L10.98
3L01.00
4L21.65
5L01.87
6W42.27
ToulouseNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Toulouse recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D21.46
2W32.26
3D21.51
4L02.71
5D20.72
6L01.99
Marseille have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 3 points against 7.4 expected. Toulouse have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 6 points against 9.6 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Marseille generated 9.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 8, 1.4 below that chance total. Toulouse generated 10.7 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 1.7 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Marseille: 6 matches · Toulouse: 6
Recent team comparison. Marseille sample 6; Toulouse sample 6.
MeasureMarseilleToulouse
Goals / game1.331.5
Conceded / game21.83
xG / game1.571.78
xG conceded / game2.021.43
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Marseille v Toulouse

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~18:45
Marseille11 starters
12Lange
22Weahdoubt
4Egan-Riley
32Medina
33Emerson
23Højbjerg
8Gomes
11Harit
9Gouiri
14Paixão
10Greenwood
Toulouse11 starters
16Haug
1Restes
3McKenzie
4Cresswell
22Messali
23Jr.
18Diop
45Vossah
20Emersonn
13Russell-Rowe
37Azizi
Out / doubtful
❓ Timothy Weah suspended · 🩹 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg injury · 🩹 Geoffrey Kondogbia injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Match Preview · published 11 Oct 2026, 05:40 BST

Marseille's Crisis Point: Can They Stop the Rot Against Toulouse?

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Marseille have won just once in their last five Ligue 1 matches and are running out of time to arrest a slide that is becoming impossible to ignore. Toulouse arrive at the Vélodrome on Sunday with their own problems, but Marseille's issues are in a differen…

Read the full preview
📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Marseille v Toulouse · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Marseille vs Toulouse?
    Marseille vs Toulouse takes place on Sunday 1 November at 19:45 (UK time) in the Ligue 1 at Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Toulouse?
    In their last 1 meetings, Marseille won 1, Toulouse won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Marseille vs Toulouse?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Ligue 1 coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Marseille vs Toulouse free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Marseille vs Toulouse are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 1 Nov, 19:45 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.