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Swiss Super League · MW9Ref: Urs Schnyder
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lausanne Sport 0-4 Lugano result, stats and report

Lausanne Sport
Lost · xG 0.56
0 – 4
FT 04:15
Won · xG 2.46
Lugano
Next: Sion v Lausanne Sport · Sun 25 Oct · Thun v Lugano · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Lausanne SportLuganoSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives Lugano win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LAU
26.5%
Draw
24.9%
LUG
48.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.5%
Over 2.5 goals
51.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Lugano win was the highest probability; the match result was Lugano win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

27%
25%
49%
26.5%LAU
24.9%Draw
48.5%LUG

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.5%No 48.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 51.8%No 48.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
11.4%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.5%
1-0
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LUG or draw at 48.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.8%.

Double Chance

1X
43.9%
12
7.5%
X2
48.7%

Half-Time Result

LAU
27.1%
Draw
41.0%
LUG
31.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LAU
Draw
LUG
LAU
19.0%
4.9%
3.5%
Draw
11.6%
14.1%
14.7%
LUG
2.1%
5.7%
24.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.8%
No
96.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.