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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW3Ref: Marcin Kochanek
Full time

This match had live commentary, momentum and in-play prices; no stats.

Katowice 2-1 Wieczysta Kraków result, stats and report

Katowice
Won · xG 0.82
2 – 1
FT 23:35
Lost · xG 1.71
Wieczysta Kraków
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Katowice v Pogoń Szczecin · Sat 17 Oct · Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

KatowiceWieczysta KrakówPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Katowice win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

KAT
46.0%
Draw
22.8%
Wieczysta Krakó
31.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
65.2%
Over 2.5 goals
65.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Katowice win was the highest probability; the match result was Katowice win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
23%
31%
46.0%KAT
22.8%Draw
31.2%Wieczysta Krakó

Both Teams to Score

65%
Yes 65.2%No 34.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

66%
Yes 65.8%No 34.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
43%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Wieczysta Krakó or draw at 48.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.4%.

Double Chance

1X
47.8%
12
3.6%
X2
48.6%

Half-Time Result

KAT
31.2%
Draw
40.2%
Wieczysta Krakó
28.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
KAT
Draw
Wieczysta Krakó
KAT
22.4%
5.0%
3.7%
Draw
14.8%
13.9%
10.6%
Wieczysta Krakó
3.2%
6.0%
20.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.4%
No
88.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.