Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
UEFA Europa League · MW2Ref: Anastasios Papapetrou
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Jagiellonia Białystok 3-1 Ararat-Armenia result, stats and report

3 – 1
FT 06:15
Lost · xG 1.11
Ararat-Armenia
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Cracovia Kraków v Jagiellonia Białystok · Sat 21 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Jagiellonia BiałystokArarat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Jagiellonia Białystok win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

JAG
45.4%
Draw
23.0%
Ararat-Armenia
31.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.3%
Over 2.5 goals
56.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Jagiellonia Białystok win was the highest probability; the match result was Jagiellonia Białystok win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
23%
32%
45.4%JAG
23.0%Draw
31.7%Ararat-Armenia

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 52.3%No 47.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 56.4%No 43.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Ararat-Armenia or draw at 47.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.0%.

Double Chance

1X
45.8%
12
6.4%
X2
47.7%

Half-Time Result

JAG
32.3%
Draw
38.1%
Ararat-Armenia
29.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
JAG
Draw
Ararat-Armenia
JAG
23.4%
4.2%
2.6%
Draw
11.9%
14.6%
12.4%
Ararat-Armenia
2.4%
4.8%
23.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.0%
No
91.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.