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UEFA Europa League · MW2Ref: Anastasios Papapetrou
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Jagiellonia Białystok 3-1 Ararat-Armenia result, stats and report

3 – 1
FT 06:15
Lost · xG 1.11
Ararat-Armenia
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Cracovia Kraków v Jagiellonia Białystok · Sat 21 Nov
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Who won Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia?

Jagiellonia Białystok 3-1 Ararat-Armenia, full time in the UEFA Europa League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

JAG won it 3–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 06:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Jagiellonia Białystok 3–1 Ararat-Armenia

Jagiellonia Białystok host Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 15 October, looking to build on a largely positive run of form. The visitors arrive with questions hanging over their ability to compete at this level.

Key Takeaways
Result

Jagiellonia Białystok beat Ararat-Armenia 3-1 at home.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
Z
11'⚽
Zidane Banjaqui
MAssist: Maxence Carlier
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Jagiellonia Białystok 1.30 xGArarat-Armenia 1.11 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Jagiellonia Białystok to win

45%Matched

Result

Jagiellonia Białystok3:1Ararat-Armenia

JAG v Ararat-Armenia

Our model called Jagiellonia Białystok to win at 45%. Jagiellonia Białystok 3-1 Ararat-Armenia. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Jagiellonia Białystok beat Ararat-Armenia 3-1 in the Europa League. Our model backed a Jagiellonia win at 45 percent probability, and the pick landed. Banjaqui opened the scoring for Ararat in the eleventh minute, but Jóźwiak equalized two minutes later. Conceição added a second for Jagiellonia before halftime, and the hosts secured the result in the second half. Both teams had conceded in their previous five matches, with Ararat failing to keep a clean sheet in any of them. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Jagiellonia Białystok v Ararat-Armenia · UEFA Europa League ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Jesús ImazJAG★ MOTM2 assists · 68 min7.9
  2. A. KlyngeJAG1 assist · 90 min7.8
  3. Kamil JóźwiakJAG1 goal · 68 min7.1
  4. Maxence CarlierArarat-Armenia1 assist · 90 min7.0
  5. Yuki KobayashiJAG90 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Jagiellonia Białystok win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

JAG
45.4%
Draw
23.0%
Ararat-Armenia
31.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.3%
Over 2.5 goals
56.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Jagiellonia Białystok win was the highest probability; the match result was Jagiellonia Białystok win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Ararat-Armenia, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 11 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Jagiellonia Białystok, the final recorded goal situation matched 0 comparable matches from 15 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Ararat-Armenia, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 0 comparable matches from 11 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Jagiellonia Białystok, the final recorded sending-off situation matched 0 comparable matches from 15 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2league matches at home unbeaten for Jagiellonia Białystok.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 3league matches away from home unbeaten for Ararat-Armenia.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Jagiellonia Białystok scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Ararat-Armenia scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Jagiellonia Białystok have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Ararat-Armenia have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia?
    JAG beat Ararat-Armenia 3-1 in the UEFA Europa League.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Zidane Banjaqui opened the scoring in the 11th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Zidane Banjaqui (11'), Kamil Jóźwiak (13'), Rodrigo Conceição (38'), Ousmane Sow (51').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Anastasios Papapetrou officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    JAG vs Ararat-Armenia kicked off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    5 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    JAG play Cracovia Kraków on Saturday, 21 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.