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Serie A · MW3Ref: Simone Sozza
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Inter 3-2 Napoli result, stats and report

Inter
Won · xG 3.30
3 – 2
FT
Lost · xG 2.00
Napoli
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Inter v Parma · Sat 10 Oct · Napoli v Frosinone · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

InterNapoliSerie A

The provider forecast gives Inter win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Inter
51.6%
Draw
25.1%
Napoli
23.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.4%
Over 2.5 goals
53.4%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

52%
25%
23%
51.6%Inter
25.1%Draw
23.3%Napoli

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 55.4%No 44.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 53.4%No 46.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Inter or draw at 60.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.6%.

Double Chance

1X
60.8%
12
6.0%
X2
33.1%

Half-Time Result

Inter
40.8%
Draw
41.2%
Napoli
18.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Inter
Draw
Napoli
Inter
33.1%
6.0%
1.9%
Draw
17.4%
16.3%
7.3%
Napoli
3.1%
4.5%
10.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.6%
No
90.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.