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2. Bundesliga · MW4Ref: Tobias Stieler
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Holstein Kiel 2-2 Nürnberg result, stats and report

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Drew · xG 0.84
2 – 2
FT 07:05
Nürnberg
Drew · xG 0.96
Nürnberg
Match review
Next: Holstein Kiel v Hertha BSC · Fri 16 Oct · Energie Cottbus v Nürnberg · Fri 16 Oct
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Who won Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg?

Holstein Kiel 2-2 Nürnberg, full time in the 2. Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Nürnberg won it.

How it played out

Level at 2–2 when it finished

HKINUR

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 8 · 07:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Holstein Kiel 2–2 Nürnberg

Holstein Kiel twice led and twice failed to hold it, ending 2-2 against a Nürnberg side who were the better team for long stretches and left Kiel with serious defensive questions to answer.

2. BundesligaSat 5 Sept, 12:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Holstein Kiel and Nürnberg drew 2-2.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
A
41'⚽
Adam Markhiev
JAssist: Javier Fernández
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel 0.84 xGNürnberg 0.96 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Holstein Kiel to win

41%Missed

Result

Holstein Kiel2:2Nürnberg

HKI v NUR

Our model leaned Holstein Kiel to win at 41%. Holstein Kiel 2-2 Nürnberg. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Holstein Kiel drew 2-2 with Nürnberg in a second-division encounter where both sides found the net. Our model favored a Kiel win at 41 percent probability, a pick that did not land. Both teams scored in the match, consistent with Nürnberg's perfect five-game BTTS record and Kiel's 60 percent rate over the same stretch. Nürnberg remained unbeaten in their last five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Holstein Kiel v Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. A. KaprálikHKI★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.5
  2. Adam MarkhievNUR1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.3
  3. Phil HarresHKI1 goal · 90 min7.5
  4. Leon ParduziHKI27 min7.4
  5. Jonas Meffert1 assist · 90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Holstein KielNürnberg2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Holstein Kiel win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HKI
40.6%
Draw
25.0%
NUR
34.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.1%
Over 2.5 goals
57.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Holstein Kiel win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Holstein Kiel and Nürnberg, landing 3 times across 14 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 10/14recorded league meetings saw both teams score (71.4%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches at home unbeaten for Holstein Kiel.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 7league matches away from home unbeaten for Nürnberg.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Holstein Kiel scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nürnberg scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Holstein Kiel have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Nürnberg have averaged 2.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • David Zec has the highest listed average xGOT for Holstein Kiel at 0.46 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Mohamed Alì Zoma has the highest listed average xGOT for Nürnberg at 0.53 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg?
    HKI and NUR drew 2-2 in the 2. Bundesliga.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Adam Markhiev opened the scoring in the 41st minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Adam Markhiev (41'), Phil Harres (46'), Adrián Kaprálik (50'), Piet Scobel (56').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 7 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Tobias Stieler officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    HKI vs NUR kicked off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    18 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    HKI play Holstein Kiel on Friday, 16 October 2026 UK time. NUR play Energie Cottbus on Friday, 16 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.