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Scottish Premiership · MW3Ref: Ryan Lee
Full time

Hibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock result, stats and report

Hibernian
Lost · xG 1.65
0 – 1
FT
Won · xG 1.61
Kilmarnock
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

HibernianKilmarnockScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives Hibernian win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HIB
51.1%
Draw
22.9%
KIL
26.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.6%
Over 2.5 goals
59.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

51%
23%
26%
51.1%HIB
22.9%Draw
26.0%KIL

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 58.6%No 41.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 59.0%No 41.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates HIB or draw at 55.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.6%.

Double Chance

1X
55.3%
12
5.0%
X2
39.7%

Half-Time Result

HIB
35.4%
Draw
40.3%
KIL
24.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
HIB
Draw
KIL
HIB
27.8%
5.1%
2.6%
Draw
16.2%
14.9%
9.8%
KIL
3.1%
5.0%
15.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.6%
No
88.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.