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Scottish Premiership · MW3Ref: Ryan Lee
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Hibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock result, stats and report

Hibernian
Hibernian
Lost · xG 1.65
0 – 1
FT 13:45
Kilmarnock
Won · xG 1.61
Kilmarnock
Match review
Next: Aberdeen v Hibernian · Sat 7 Nov · Celtic v Kilmarnock · Sun 8 Nov
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Who won Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?

Hibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock, full time in the Scottish Premiership. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Hibernian winning 1, Kilmarnock winning 0 and 1 drawn.

How it played out

KIL won it 1–0

HIBKIL

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 13:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Hibernian 0–1 Kilmarnock

Hibernian created the chances but could not take them. Kilmarnock took theirs. That is football, and that is why Hibs lost.

Scottish PremiershipTue 15 Sept, 19:45
Key Takeaways
Result

Kilmarnock won 1-0 away at Hibernian.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
G
40'⚽
George Stanger
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Hibernian 1.65 xGKilmarnock 1.61 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Hibernian to win

51%Missed

Result

Hibernian0:1Kilmarnock

HIB v KIL

Our model leaned Hibernian to win at 51%. Hibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Kilmarnock won 1-0 at Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership, with George Stanger scoring in the 40th minute. Our model favored a Hibernian victory at 51 percent probability, a pick that missed. Hibernian had managed only two draws in their previous five matches while Kilmarnock arrived in form with three wins from five. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Hibernian v Kilmarnock · Scottish Premiership ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Maksymilian StryjekKIL★ MOTM90 min8.7
  2. Raphael SallingerHIB90 min7.8
  3. Jason KerrHIB90 min7.8
  4. George StangerKIL1 goal · 90 min7.7
  5. Grant HanleyHIB82 min7.7

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

HibernianKilmarnockScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives Hibernian win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HIB
51.1%
Draw
22.9%
KIL
26.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.6%
Over 2.5 goals
59.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Hibernian win was the highest probability; the match result was Kilmarnock win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Hibernian and Kilmarnock, landing 5 times across 26 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 13/26recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hibernian scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Kilmarnock scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hibernian have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Kilmarnock have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Owen Elding has the highest listed average xGOT for Hibernian at 0.57 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Joe Hugill has the highest listed average xGOT for Kilmarnock at 0.59 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Hibernian vs Kilmarnock?
    KIL beat HIB 1-0 in the Scottish Premiership.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    George Stanger opened the scoring in the 40th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    George Stanger (40').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Ryan Lee officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    HIB vs KIL kicked off on Tuesday, 15 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    22 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    HIB play Aberdeen on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. KIL play Celtic on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.