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Austrian Bundesliga · MW8Ref: Markus Greinecker
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Hartberg 4-3 Austria Lustenau result, stats and report

Hartberg
Won · xG 2.66
4 – 3
FT 00:05
Lost · xG 1.26
Austria Lustenau
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Grazer AK v Hartberg · Fri 30 Oct · Salzburg v Austria Lustenau · Sun 1 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

HartbergAustria LustenauAustrian Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Hartberg win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HTB
38.7%
Draw
25.5%
AUT
35.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.1%
Over 2.5 goals
52.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Hartberg win was the highest probability; the match result was Hartberg win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
26%
36%
38.7%HTB
25.5%Draw
35.8%AUT

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.1%No 43.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 52.7%No 47.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AUT or draw at 46.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.0%.

Double Chance

1X
46.5%
12
6.8%
X2
46.7%

Half-Time Result

HTB
27.5%
Draw
40.8%
AUT
31.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
HTB
Draw
AUT
HTB
20.0%
5.3%
2.8%
Draw
12.5%
15.9%
12.2%
AUT
2.7%
4.9%
23.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.0%
No
94.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.