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Croatian 1. HNL · MW10Ref: Dario Bel
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Hajduk Split 1-0 Varaždin result, stats and report

1 – 0
FT 01:15
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Lincoln Red Imps v Hajduk Split · Thu 5 Nov · Varaždin v Dinamo Zagreb · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Hajduk SplitVaraždinCroatian 1. HNL

The provider forecast gives Hajduk Split win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HAJ
47.5%
Draw
27.1%
VAR
25.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.7%
Over 2.5 goals
52.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Hajduk Split win was the highest probability; the match result was Hajduk Split win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

47%
27%
25%
47.5%HAJ
27.1%Draw
25.4%VAR

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 53.7%No 46.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.0%No 48.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates HAJ or draw at 54.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.8%.

Double Chance

1X
54.3%
12
7.2%
X2
38.5%

Half-Time Result

HAJ
32.5%
Draw
45.4%
VAR
22.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
HAJ
Draw
VAR
HAJ
27.2%
5.5%
2.0%
Draw
17.0%
16.9%
9.1%
VAR
2.5%
6.1%
13.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.8%
No
92.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.