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Croatian 1. HNL · MW10Ref: Dario Bel
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Hajduk Split 1-0 Varaždin result, stats and report

1 – 0
FT 01:15
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Lincoln Red Imps v Hajduk Split · Thu 5 Nov · Varaždin v Dinamo Zagreb · Sun 8 Nov
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Who won Hajduk Split vs Varaždin?

Hajduk Split 1-0 Varaždin, full time in Croatian 1. HNL. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Hajduk Split winning 1, Varaždin winning 1 and 0 drawn.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

HAJ won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 00:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Hajduk Split 1–0 Varaždin

Hajduk Split are flying in the Croatian 1. HNL but Varaždin have already taken three points off them this campaign. Saturday at Poljud is not a formality.

Key Takeaways
Result

Hajduk Split beat Varaždin 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
86'⚽
Mathieu Acapandié
AAssist: Abdoulie Sanyang

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Hajduk Split to win

47%Matched

Result

Hajduk Split1:0Varaždin

HAJ v VAR

Our model called Hajduk Split to win at 47%. Hajduk Split 1-0 Varaždin. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Hajduk Split beat Varaždin 1-0 in the Croatian 1. HNL, with Mathieu Acapandié scoring in the 86th minute to secure the win. Our model favored a Hajduk victory at 47% probability, and the pick landed. The hosts managed to break through late despite Varaždin's recent form showing two wins in their last five matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Hajduk Split v Varaždin · Croatian 1. HNL ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Khalil FayadHAJ★ MOTM90 min7.6
  2. Marin SoticekHAJ74 min7.4
  3. Mathieu AcapandiéHAJ1 goal · 90 min7.4
  4. Josip SilicVAR90 min7.3
  5. Abdoulie SanyangHAJ1 assist · 32 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Hajduk Split win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HAJ
47.5%
Draw
27.1%
VAR
25.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.7%
Over 2.5 goals
52.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Hajduk Split win was the highest probability; the match result was Hajduk Split win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Varaždin, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 46 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Varaždin, the final recorded goal situation matched 17 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Hajduk Split, the final recorded goal situation matched 5 comparable matches from 46 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Hajduk Split, the final recorded goal situation matched 25 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-0is the most common scoreline between Hajduk Split and Varaždin, landing 5 times across 25 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 13/25recorded league meetings saw both teams score (52%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 37league matches at home unbeaten for Hajduk Split.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Varaždin.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Hajduk Split scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Varaždin scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Hajduk Split vs Varaždin?
    HAJ beat VAR 1-0 in the Croatian 1. HNL.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Mathieu Acapandié opened the scoring in the 86th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Mathieu Acapandié (86').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Dario Bel officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    HAJ vs VAR kicked off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    8 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    HAJ play Lincoln Red Imps on Thursday, 5 November 2026 UK time. VAR play Varaždin on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.