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Ligue 2 · MW9Ref: Thomas Vincent
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Guingamp 1-2 Pau result, stats and report

Guingamp
Lost · xG 2.41
1 – 2
FT 05:15
Won · xG 0.69
Pau
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Dunkerque v Guingamp · Fri 6 Nov · Pau v Nantes · Sat 7 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

GuingampPauLigue 2

The provider forecast gives Guingamp win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

GUI
46.3%
Draw
26.5%
PAU
27.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.1%
Over 2.5 goals
50.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Guingamp win was the highest probability; the match result was Pau win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
26%
27%
46.3%GUI
26.5%Draw
27.2%PAU

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.1%No 46.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.6%No 49.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates GUI or draw at 57.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.1%.

Double Chance

1X
57.7%
12
7.8%
X2
34.5%

Half-Time Result

GUI
38.5%
Draw
43.4%
PAU
18.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
GUI
Draw
PAU
GUI
29.7%
5.0%
1.8%
Draw
18.0%
17.8%
8.5%
PAU
2.4%
5.1%
11.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.1%
No
92.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.