This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.
Guingamp 1-2 Pau result, stats and report
Who won Guingamp vs Pau?
Guingamp 1-2 Pau, full time in Ligue 2. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Pau won it.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Guingamp 1–2 Pau
Guingamp host Pau on Friday night in a Ligue 2 fixture between two sides who have made a habit of giving goals away. Someone has to tighten up. The question is whether either of them actually can.
Pau won 2-1 away at Guingamp.
3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Pau won against the run of the chances: Guingamp 2.41 to Pau 0.69 on expected goals, which favoured Guingamp.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Guingamp to win
Result
1:2
GUI v PAU
📊 Match recap and data context
Pau won 2-1 at Guingamp in Ligue 2, with Cheikh Fall opening the scoring in the sixth minute and Bilal Brahimi doubling the lead by the thirty-third. Teddy Averlant pulled one back for Guingamp in the seventy-fifth, but the hosts could not find an equaliser. Our model backed a Guingamp win at 46 percent probability; the pick missed. Both sides found the net, fitting the pattern of their recent meetings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Guingamp v Pau · Ligue 2 ·
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Guingamp win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- GUI
- 46.3%
- Draw
- 26.5%
- PAU
- 27.2%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 53.1%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50.6%
Full-time forecast audit: Guingamp win was the highest probability; the match result was Pau win.
Forecast result checked ·
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
Final live-fact record
- For Pau, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 12 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Pau, the final recorded goal situation matched 19 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Guingamp, the final recorded goal situation matched 4 comparable matches from 12 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
- For Guingamp, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
- 0-1is the most common scoreline between Guingamp and Pau, landing 2 times across 12 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 6/12recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 4league matches at home unbeaten for Guingamp.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Guingamp scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Pau scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Guingamp have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
Who scored the opening goal?
Cheikh Fall opened the scoring in the 6th minute.Who scored in the match?
Cheikh Fall (6'), Bilal Brahimi (33'), Teddy Averlant (75').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 5 yellow cards.Who refereed the match?
Thomas Vincent officiated.When and where was the match played?
GUI vs PAU kicked off on Friday, 16 October 2026 UK time.How many corners were there in the match?
7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.