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La Liga 2 · MW3 Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, GironaRef: Andrés Fuentes Molina
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Girona 5-2 Las Palmas result, stats and report

Girona
Won · xG 0.74
5 – 2
FT
Lost · xG 0.39
Las Palmas
Next: Tenerife v Girona · Mon 12 Oct · Mallorca v Las Palmas · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

GironaLas PalmasLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Girona win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Girona
38.0%
Draw
26.4%
LPA
35.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.1%
Over 2.5 goals
52.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
26%
36%
38.0%Girona
26.4%Draw
35.5%LPA

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.1%No 43.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.2%No 47.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LPA or draw at 47.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.5%.

Double Chance

1X
45.7%
12
7.1%
X2
47.2%

Half-Time Result

Girona
28.5%
Draw
44.4%
LPA
27.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Girona
Draw
LPA
Girona
20.6%
5.6%
2.2%
Draw
12.4%
18.4%
13.3%
LPA
2.3%
5.8%
19.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.5%
No
94.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.