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La Liga · MW7 Estadio Coliseum, GetafeRef: Javier Alberola Rojas
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Getafe 1-0 Málaga result, stats and report

Getafe
Won · xG 1.04
1 – 0
FT 01:16
Lost · xG 0.72
Málaga
Next: Getafe v Lugano · Thu 22 Oct · Deportivo Alaves v Málaga · Fri 23 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

GetafeMálagaLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Getafe win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.6%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Getafe
39.6%
Draw
29.0%
MLA
31.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.2%
Over 2.5 goals
40.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Getafe win was the highest probability; the match result was Getafe win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
29%
31%
39.6%Getafe
29.0%Draw
31.4%MLA

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 47.2%No 52.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

40%
Yes 40.2%No 59.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
20%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.6%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Getafe or draw at 49.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 49.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.6%.

Double Chance

1X
49.9%
12
10.3%
X2
39.8%

Half-Time Result

Getafe
27.1%
Draw
49.8%
MLA
23.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Getafe
Draw
MLA
Getafe
20.7%
5.6%
1.9%
Draw
14.2%
20.7%
13.5%
MLA
2.4%
4.7%
16.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.6%
No
96.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.