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Bournemouth won 1-0 at Craven Cottage, extending their recent run to three wins in five matches. Our model favoured Fulham at 45 per cent probability, but the pick missed as the visitors secured all three points. Fulham's form has been patchy, posting one win, two draws and two losses across their last five outings. Bournemouth arrived in strong shape and capitalised on the day to claim the result. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The result extended Bournemouth's unbeaten run to 5 matches and solidified their position in 6th place. Fulham remained 11th, now 9 points adrift of the visitors, with their attacking form a persistent concern. Our model had flagged Bournemouth's superior recent trajectory; they had won 3 of 5 while Fulham managed just 1 win in the same period. The gap between these sides widened further following this encounter.
Fulham failed to break down Bournemouth's defence, conceding a single goal in a match where they managed 0 shots on target. The result extended their inconsistent run; they had won just 1 of their last 5 matches and scored only 3 goals across that span while conceding 6. Their clean sheet record stood at 40%, yet they could not generate attacking threat. Sitting 11th with 2 losses in their previous 3 games, the defeat reinforced their struggles in front of goal.
Bournemouth's 1-0 victory capped a dominant period of form; they had won 3 of their last 5 matches without defeat. Their xG of 1.20 reflected clinical efficiency in converting limited chances. The away side's defensive solidity held firm, maintaining a clean sheet despite Fulham's possession. They scored 6 goals across their last 5 games, demonstrating attacking consistency. The win moved them closer to the top four.