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Carabao Cup Craven Cottage, LondonRef: Anthony Backhouse
Full time

Fulham 3-0 AFC Wimbledon result, stats and report

Fulham
Won ยท xG 3.40
3 โ€“ 0
FT 08:15
Lost ยท xG 0.26
AFC Wimbledon
Next: Fulham v Manchester United ยท Sun 20 Sept ยท Cambridge United v AFC Wimbledon ยท Sat 26 Sept
Skip match sections

Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FulhamAFC WimbledonCarabao Cup

The provider forecast gives Fulham win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Fulham
45.1%
Draw
24.3%
AWM
30.5%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
55.8%
Over 2.5 goals
55.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Fulham win was the highest probability; the match result was Fulham win.

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
24%
31%
45.1%Fulham
24.3%Draw
30.5%AWM

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 55.8%No 44.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.1%No 44.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
2-0
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Fulham or draw at 54.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.6%.

Double Chance

1X
54.2%
12
6.0%
X2
39.8%

Half-Time Result

Fulham
34.5%
Draw
41.3%
AWM
24.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Fulham
Draw
AWM
Fulham
28.7%
4.4%
2.2%
Draw
15.8%
15.1%
9.9%
AWM
2.4%
4.9%
16.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.6%
No
92.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.