FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05 1–3 Union Berlin
Union Berlin took all three points at Mainz with a convincing 3-1 victory, and while the scoreline surprised many, the underlying structure of this Bundesliga campaign made it far less of a shock than the market implied.
Union Berlin claimed an impressive away victory to boost their season.
Plenty of attacking intent from both sides produced an entertaining goal tally.
The result has implications at both ends of the Union Berlin end of the standings.
Union Berlin 3-1 Winners at Mainz: What the Data Says About a Result That Makes Sense
Union Berlin took all three points at Mainz with a convincing 3-1 victory, and while the scoreline surprised many, the underlying structure of this Bundesliga campaign made it far less of a shock than the market implied.
Read full report →- 7'Foul
- 16'off: Danny da Costa
- 38'assist: Aljoscha Kemlein
- 48'assist: Paul Nebel
- 59'off: Livan Burcu
- 59'
- 60'off: Ilyas Ansah
- 60'off: Tom Rothe
- 70'
- 70'off: Paul Nebel
- 75'Foul
- 80'Foul
- 81'off: Sheraldo Becker
- 81'off: Christopher Trimmel
- 81'off: Phillip Tietz
- 88'off: Oliver Burke
- 88'assist: Andrej Ilic
- 90+1'assist: Tim Skarke
Expected Goals (xG)
How the result affects the Bundesliga standings.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 89 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 73 |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 65 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 62 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 61 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 44 |
What was the final score of FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin?
The match finished 1-3 to Union Berlin.
Who won FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin?
Union Berlin won the match 3-1.
When did FSV Mainz 05 vs Union Berlin take place?
The match took place on Sunday, 10 May 2026.
📊 AI-generated recap and structured data
Union Berlin won 3-1 at Mainz on Sunday, overturning our model's 52% pick for a Mainz victory. The visitors dominated despite their recent form slump; Mainz had won three of their last five but could not sustain that momentum at the MEWA ARENA. Both sides had shown a 60% both-teams-to-score rate in recent matches, and that pattern held as the match produced goals at both ends. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Union Berlin's victory lifted them temporarily but their underlying form remains fragile; two wins in five matches keeps them in relegation danger at position 12. Mainz's home defeat deepens concerns about inconsistency at the Opel Arena. The three-goal margin suggests a significant performance gap on the day. Both sides remain clustered in the lower half, with neither capable of sustained momentum; the result shifts little in the broader title race but reinforces mid-table instability.
FSV Mainz 05 v Union Berlin · Bundesliga · 10/05/2026, 18:30:00