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Bundesliga · MW3 MEWA ARENA, MainzRef: Felix Zwayer
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

FSV Mainz 05 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt result, stats and report

FSV Mainz 05
Lost · xG 2.41
1 – 3
FT 07:25
Won · xG 1.93
Eintracht Frankfurt
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen · Sat 24 Oct · Borussia Dortmund v Eintracht Frankfurt · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FSV Mainz 05Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga

The provider forecast gives FSV Mainz 05 win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FSV Mainz 05
46.6%
Draw
23.8%
Eintracht Frankfurt
29.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.5%
Over 2.5 goals
57.1%

Full-time forecast audit: FSV Mainz 05 win was the highest probability; the match result was Eintracht Frankfurt win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

47%
24%
30%
46.6%FSV Mainz 05
23.8%Draw
29.6%Eintracht Frankfurt

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.5%No 43.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.1%No 42.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FSV Mainz 05 or draw at 55.1%; the most likely half-time state is FSV Mainz 05 leading at half-time at 38.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.0%.

Double Chance

1X
55.1%
12
6.3%
X2
38.6%

Half-Time Result

FSV Mainz 05
38.1%
Draw
35.6%
Eintracht Frankfurt
26.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FSV Mainz 05
Draw
Eintracht Frankfurt
FSV Mainz 05
30.4%
4.4%
2.4%
Draw
13.5%
12.7%
10.0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.2%
5.3%
18.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.0%
No
90.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.