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Serie A · Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 11:30 KO Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze

Fiorentina vs Napoli prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
20 Sept
Fiorentina 29%Draw 28%Napoli 43%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

FiorentinaNapoliSerie A

The provider forecast gives Napoli win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.0%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Fiorentina
29.0%
Draw
27.9%
Napoli
43.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.3%
Over 2.5 goals
42.3%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

29%
28%
43%
29.0%Fiorentina
27.9%Draw
43.0%Napoli

Both Teams to Score

46%
Yes 46.3%No 53.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

42%
Yes 42.3%No 57.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
68%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
21%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Napoli or draw at 49.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.2%.

Double Chance

1X
41.1%
12
9.9%
X2
49.0%

Half-Time Result

Fiorentina
26.1%
Draw
44.8%
Napoli
29.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Fiorentina
Draw
Napoli
Fiorentina
17.8%
4.9%
2.7%
Draw
12.4%
18.2%
13.8%
Napoli
2.0%
5.4%
22.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.2%
No
97.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.