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Serie A · MW2 Stadio Artemio Franchi, FirenzeRef: Giuseppe Collu
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Fiorentina 0-3 Frosinone result, stats and report

Fiorentina
Lost · xG 1.58
0 – 3
FT
Won · xG 0.90
Frosinone
Next: Fiorentina v Como · Sun 18 Oct · Frosinone v Sassuolo · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FiorentinaFrosinoneSerie A

The provider forecast gives Fiorentina win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.2%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Fiorentina
41.2%
Draw
28.4%
FRO
30.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.1%
Over 2.5 goals
46.6%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
28%
30%
41.2%Fiorentina
28.4%Draw
30.4%FRO

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 51.1%No 48.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 46.6%No 53.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
24%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
7.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Fiorentina or draw at 53.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.9%.

Double Chance

1X
53.0%
12
8.6%
X2
38.4%

Half-Time Result

Fiorentina
35.1%
Draw
41.8%
FRO
23.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Fiorentina
Draw
FRO
Fiorentina
27.2%
6.4%
2.5%
Draw
13.5%
17.3%
10.6%
FRO
2.1%
4.8%
15.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.9%
No
95.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.