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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Como were sharper, braver, and more clinical than a Fiorentina side that had no answers once the visitors took control in the first half. Three points, and it was not even close.
Como were sharper, braver, and more clinical than a Fiorentina side that had no answers once the visitors took control in the first half. Three points, and it was not even close.
Serie ASun 18 Oct, 14:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Como won 3-1 away at Fiorentina.
Goals
4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
M
32'⚽
Mattia Liberali
MAssist: Maxence Caqueret
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Fiorentina 1.92 xGComo 1.81 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Fiorentina to win
38%Missed
Result
1:3
Fiorentina v Como
Our model leaned Fiorentina to win at 38%. Fiorentina 1-3 Como. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Fiorentina fell to Como 3-1 at the Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A. Our model backed a Fiorentina win at 38 percent probability; the pick missed. Como struck twice in the first half through Mattia Liberali in the 32nd minute and Nico Paz in the 36th, establishing control before Marin Pongracic pulled one back for Fiorentina in the 42nd. Como added a third to seal the result. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Fiorentina win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Fiorentina
38.2%
Draw
26.3%
Como
35.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.0%
Over 2.5 goals
51.6%
Full-time forecast audit: Fiorentina win was the highest probability; the match result was Como win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.