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Eredivisie · MW12 Stadion Galgenwaard, UtrechtRef: Erwin Blank

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
22h 5m
Utrecht 45%Draw 24%NEC Nijmegen 31%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Utrecht or NEC Nijmegen?

Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen kicks off UK time in the Eredivisie. The match is at Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht. Our model's pick is Utrecht to win at a 45% modelled probability.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Utrecht has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Utrecht45.0%
Draw24.1%
BTTS yes60.1%

Updated

Over 2.558.3%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Utrecht and NEC Nijmegen, landing 4 times across 17 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 6/17recorded league meetings saw both teams score (35.3%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 10league matches at home unbeaten for Utrecht.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 13league matches away from home unbeaten for NEC Nijmegen.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Utrecht scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • NEC Nijmegen scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Utrecht have averaged 1.8 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • NEC Nijmegen have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Mitchel Bakker has the highest listed average xGOT for NEC Nijmegen at 0.79 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 9

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
7.9
xG for
10▲ +2.1
Goals
8.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
11.7
xG for
12▲ +0.3
Goals
7.5
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
UtrechtNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Utrecht recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L21.39
2D11.66
3W21.28
4W31.40
5L00.73
6W21.46
NEC NijmegenNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

NEC Nijmegen recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W31.65
2L01.55
3D22.44
4W41.40
5D23.20
6D11.46
Utrecht have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 8.2 expected. NEC Nijmegen have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 9 points against 10.9 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Utrecht generated 7.9 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 2.1 above that chance total. NEC Nijmegen generated 11.7 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 12, 0.3 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Utrecht: 6 matches · NEC Nijmegen: 6
Recent team comparison. Utrecht sample 6; NEC Nijmegen sample 6.
MeasureUtrechtNEC Nijmegen
Goals / game1.672
Conceded / game2.171.5
xG / game1.321.95
xG conceded / game1.471.25
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~18:00
Utrecht11 starters
1Barkas
2Horemans
23Vesterlund
40Didden
12Zagré
20Wit
8Agougil
6Overeem
77Alarcón
10Cathline
14Broholm
NEC Nijmegen11 starters
1Crettaz
12Polster
4Kaplan
Fonville
42Kabar
20Lebreton
6Nejasmic
35Monteiro
8Geiger
30Linssen
37Bischoff
Out / doubtful
🩹 Marius Broholm injury · 🩹 Alonzo Engwanda injury · 🩹 Artem Stepanov injury · 🩹 Noah Ohio injury · 🩹 Vasilios Barkas injury · ❓ Isak Hansen-Aarøen suspended · 🩹 Dennis Geiger injury · ❓ Dele Thomas suspended · ❓ Adam Tahaui suspended · ❓ Freek Entius suspended · 🩹 Dusan Tadic injury · ❓ Mitchel Bakker suspended · 🩹 Philippe Sandler injury · 🩹 Bryan Linssen injury · 🩹 Bram Nuytinck injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie ·

More from this competition: Eredivisie predictions · Eredivisie odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
    Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen takes place on Sunday 8 November at 19:00 (UK time) in the Eredivisie at Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht.
  • Who is the model backing in Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
    Our model's pick is Utrecht to win (match result), with around 45% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • How can I watch Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Eredivisie coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 8 Nov, 19:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.