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2. Bundesliga · MW5 Millerntor-Stadion, HamburgRef: Sören Storks
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

FC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg result, stats and report

FC St. Pauli
Won · xG 1.17
1 – 0
FT 14:56
Lost · xG 0.49
VfL Wolfsburg
Next: Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli · Fri 23 Oct · VfL Bochum 1848 v VfL Wolfsburg · Fri 23 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives VfL Wolfsburg win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FC St. Pauli
32.5%
Draw
24.7%
VfL Wolfsburg
42.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.5%
Over 2.5 goals
57.2%

Full-time forecast audit: VfL Wolfsburg win was the highest probability; the match result was FC St. Pauli win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

33%
25%
43%
32.5%FC St. Pauli
24.7%Draw
42.7%VfL Wolfsburg

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.5%No 43.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.2%No 42.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FC St. Pauli or draw at 47.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.2%.

Double Chance

1X
47.1%
12
6.1%
X2
46.8%

Half-Time Result

FC St. Pauli
29.4%
Draw
37.6%
VfL Wolfsburg
33.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FC St. Pauli
Draw
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
20.5%
5.3%
2.9%
Draw
11.6%
13.5%
11.9%
VfL Wolfsburg
2.2%
5.7%
26.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.2%
No
94.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.