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2. Bundesliga · MW5 Millerntor-Stadion, HamburgRef: Sören Storks
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

FC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg result, stats and report

FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
Won · xG 1.17
1 – 0
FT 14:56
VfL Wolfsburg
Lost · xG 0.49
VfL Wolfsburg
Match review
Next: Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli · Fri 23 Oct · VfL Bochum 1848 v VfL Wolfsburg · Fri 23 Oct
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Who won FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?

FC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg, full time in the 2. Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with FC St. Pauli winning 0, VfL Wolfsburg winning 2 and 0 drawn.

How it played out

FC St. Pauli won it 1–0

FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 14:56Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

FC St. Pauli 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg

Joel Chima Fujita's late right-foot finish gave Wolfsburg all three points at the Millerntor, exposing a St. Pauli side that dominated possession but created almost nothing with it.

2. BundesligaSat 12 Sept, 19:30
Key Takeaways
Result

FC St. Pauli beat VfL Wolfsburg 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
88'⚽
Joel Chima Fujita
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

FC St. Pauli 1.17 xGVfL Wolfsburg 0.49 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

VfL Wolfsburg to win

43%Missed

Result

FC St. Pauli1:0VfL Wolfsburg

FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg

Our model leaned VfL Wolfsburg to win at 43%. FC St. Pauli 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

FC St. Pauli defeated VfL Wolfsburg 1-0 at Millerntor-Stadion in a result that caught our model off guard. We had backed Wolfsburg at 43% probability and that pick did not land. St. Pauli broke a run without wins in their last five matches, though they had seen both teams score in all five of those contests. Wolfsburg, arriving with two wins from their last five, failed to find the net despite their recent form. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

FC St. Pauli v VfL Wolfsburg · 2. Bundesliga ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Connor MetcalfeFC St. Pauli★ MOTM90 min7.8
  2. Joel Chima FujitaFC St. Pauli1 goal · 90 min7.7
  3. Arkadiusz PyrkaFC St. Pauli90 min7.5
  4. Eric SmithFC St. Pauli90 min7.3
  5. Ben VollFC St. Pauli90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FC St. PauliVfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives VfL Wolfsburg win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FC St. Pauli
32.5%
Draw
24.7%
VfL Wolfsburg
42.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.5%
Over 2.5 goals
57.2%

Full-time forecast audit: VfL Wolfsburg win was the highest probability; the match result was FC St. Pauli win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 45league matches at home unbeaten for FC St. Pauli.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for VfL Wolfsburg.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • FC St. Pauli scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • FC St. Pauli have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Abdoulie Ceesay has the highest listed average xGOT for FC St. Pauli at 0.68 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Hauke Wahl has the highest listed average xGOT for VfL Wolfsburg at 0.88 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg?
    FC St. Pauli beat VfL Wolfsburg 1-0 in the 2. Bundesliga at Millerntor-Stadion.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Joel Chima Fujita opened the scoring in the 88th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Joel Chima Fujita (88').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Sören Storks officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg kicked off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 UK time at Millerntor-Stadion.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    FC St. Pauli play Darmstadt 98 on Friday, 23 October 2026 UK time. VfL Wolfsburg play VfL Bochum 1848 on Friday, 23 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.