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2. Bundesliga · MW3 Millerntor-Stadion, HamburgRef: Eric-dominic Weisbach
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

FC St. Pauli 1-2 Kaiserslautern result, stats and report

FC St. Pauli
Lost · xG 0.30
1 – 2
FT
Won · xG 0.33
Kaiserslautern
Next: Hannover 96 v FC St. Pauli · Sat 17 Oct · Kaiserslautern v VfL Bochum 1848 · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FC St. PauliKaiserslautern2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives FC St. Pauli win the highest 1X2 probability at 36.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FC St. Pauli
36.3%
Draw
27.4%
FCK
36.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.8%
Over 2.5 goals
46.8%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
27%
36%
36.3%FC St. Pauli
27.4%Draw
36.3%FCK

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 50.8%No 49.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 46.8%No 53.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FCK or draw at 47.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.9%.

Double Chance

1X
44.1%
12
8.6%
X2
47.3%

Half-Time Result

FC St. Pauli
26.1%
Draw
43.9%
FCK
30.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FC St. Pauli
Draw
FCK
FC St. Pauli
18.6%
5.2%
2.7%
Draw
11.7%
17.4%
14.3%
FCK
1.9%
5.0%
23.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.9%
No
96.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.