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Scottish Premiership · MW8Ref: David Dickinson
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Falkirk 1-2 Dundee result, stats and report

Falkirk
Lost · xG 2.36
1 – 2
FT 05:06
Won · xG 2.35
Dundee
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Aberdeen v Falkirk · Wed 28 Oct · Dundee v Kilmarnock · Wed 28 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

FalkirkDundeeScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives Falkirk win the highest 1X2 probability at 49.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

FAL
49.0%
Draw
24.0%
DUD
26.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.8%
Over 2.5 goals
56.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Falkirk win was the highest probability; the match result was Dundee win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

49%
24%
27%
49.0%FAL
24.0%Draw
26.9%DUD

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 58.8%No 41.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.9%No 43.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates FAL or draw at 57.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.4%.

Double Chance

1X
57.1%
12
5.5%
X2
37.3%

Half-Time Result

FAL
38.3%
Draw
40.0%
DUD
21.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
FAL
Draw
DUD
FAL
29.2%
6.0%
2.2%
Draw
15.6%
14.3%
9.8%
DUD
3.4%
5.4%
14.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.4%
No
90.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.