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Carabao Cup Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Everton vs Newcastle United prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
29 Oct
Everton 37%Draw 23%Newcastle United 40%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Everton or Newcastle United?

Everton vs Newcastle United kicks off UK time in the Carabao Cup. The match is at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 55.9% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Everton winning 1, Newcastle United winning 1 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

No clear match-result favourite · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Everton36.9%
Draw23.3%
BTTS yes55.9%

Updated

Over 2.556.0%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
8.6
xG for
7▼ -1.6
Goals
7.0
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
7.5
xG for
11▲ +3.5
Goals
7.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
EvertonNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Everton recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1D21.79
2W11.57
3W11.67
4D01.31
5D21.07
6D11.14
Newcastle UnitedNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Newcastle United recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.36
2L10.77
3W12.02
4D20.59
5W20.69
6W32.11
Newcastle United have taken more points than their chances were worth: 13 points against 8.0 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Everton generated 8.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 7, 1.6 below that chance total. Newcastle United generated 7.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 11, 3.5 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Everton: 6 matches · Newcastle United: 6
Recent team comparison. Everton sample 6; Newcastle United sample 6.
MeasureEvertonNewcastle United
Goals / game1.171.83
Conceded / game0.831.5
xG / game1.431.25
xG conceded / game1.171.3
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Everton v Newcastle United

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~18:45
Everton11 starters
Newcastle United11 starters
3Hall
4Botman
12Thiaw
2Trippier
8Tonali
28Willock
67Miley
11Barnes
10Gordon
9Wissa
23Murphy
Out / doubtful
🩹 Merlin Röhl injury · 🩹 Vitaliy Mykolenko injury · 🩹 Tino Livramento injury · 🩹 Joelinton injury · 🩹 Dan Burn injury · 🩹 William Osula injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Everton v Newcastle United · Carabao Cup ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Everton vs Newcastle United?
    Everton vs Newcastle United takes place on Thursday 29 October at 19:45 (UK time) in the Carabao Cup at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, Merseyside.
  • Who is the model backing in Everton vs Newcastle United?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score (btts), with around 56% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Newcastle United?
    In their last 2 meetings, Everton won 1, Newcastle United won 1, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Everton vs Newcastle United?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Carabao Cup coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Everton vs Newcastle United free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Everton vs Newcastle United are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 29 Oct, 19:45 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.