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Premier League · MW7 Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, MerseysideRef: Paul Tierney
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Everton 0-2 Chelsea result, stats and report

Everton
Lost · xG 0.51
0 – 2
FT 01:35
Won · xG 1.38
Chelsea
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Newcastle United v Everton · Mon 2 Nov · Sunderland v Chelsea · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

EvertonChelseaPremier League

The provider forecast gives Everton win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Everton
41.8%
Draw
24.5%
Chelsea
33.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.3%
Over 2.5 goals
58.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Everton win was the highest probability; the match result was Chelsea win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
25%
34%
41.8%Everton
24.5%Draw
33.7%Chelsea

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.3%No 39.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.6%No 41.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Everton or draw at 53.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.4%.

Double Chance

1X
53.2%
12
5.2%
X2
41.6%

Half-Time Result

Everton
33.2%
Draw
42.5%
Chelsea
24.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Everton
Draw
Chelsea
Everton
25.0%
5.2%
2.6%
Draw
14.1%
15.1%
11.4%
Chelsea
3.1%
6.1%
17.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.4%
No
92.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.