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Liga Portugal · MW3Ref: Iancu Ioan Vasilica
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Estrela Amadora 2-1 Sporting Braga result, stats and report

Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora
Won · xG 0.68
2 – 1
FT 16:05
Sporting Braga
Lost · xG 0.72
Sporting Braga
Match review
Next: Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia · Sat 24 Oct · Sporting Braga v Gent · Thu 22 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga?

Estrela Amadora 2-1 Sporting Braga, full time in Liga Portugal. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

How it played out

EST won it 2–1

ESTSBR

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 16:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Estrela Amadora 2–1 Sporting Braga

Ianis Stoica scored twice to give Estrela Amadora a 2-1 victory over Sporting Braga in Liga Portugal, with the home side holding firm despite Braga's dominance of possession throughout the match.

Liga PortugalThu 10 Sept, 20:15
Key Takeaways
Result

Estrela Amadora beat Sporting Braga 2-1 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
G
5'⚽
Gabri Martínez
PAssist: Pau Víctor
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Estrela Amadora 0.68 xGSporting Braga 0.72 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Sporting Braga to win

52%Missed

Result

Estrela Amadora2:1Sporting Braga

EST v SBR

Our model leaned Sporting Braga to win at 52%. Estrela Amadora 2-1 Sporting Braga. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Estrela Amadora beat Sporting Braga 2-1 at home in Liga Portugal, overturning our model's 52% pick for a Braga win. Both sides had entered the match in poor form, though each showed attacking intent; Braga arrived unbeaten in their last five but conceded the decisive goal in a match where both teams found the net. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Estrela Amadora v Sporting Braga · Liga Portugal ·

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions · Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Demir Ege Tıknaz★ MOTM76 min7.1
  2. Jonas Wind14 min6.7
  3. Joan Jordán15 min6.5
  4. Gustaf Lagerbielke90 min6.4
  5. Tomás Marqués29 min6.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Estrela AmadoraSporting BragaLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Sporting Braga win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

EST
22.5%
Draw
25.7%
SBR
51.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.5%
Over 2.5 goals
45.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Sporting Braga win was the highest probability; the match result was Estrela Amadora win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Braga, landing once across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (66.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3league matches at home unbeaten for Estrela Amadora.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 40league matches away from home unbeaten for Sporting Braga.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Estrela Amadora scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sporting Braga scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Estrela Amadora have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Sporting Braga have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Stefan Leković has the highest listed average xGOT for Estrela Amadora at 0.51 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Gabriel Silva has the highest listed average xGOT for Sporting Braga at 0.64 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Braga?
    EST beat SBR 2-1 in the Liga Portugal.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Gabri Martínez opened the scoring in the 5th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Gabri Martínez (5'), Ianis Stoica (45'), Ianis Stoica (56').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Iancu Ioan Vasilica officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    EST vs SBR kicked off on Thursday, 10 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    EST play Estrela Amadora on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. SBR play Sporting Braga on Thursday, 22 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.