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Liga Portugal · MW3Ref: Iancu Ioan Vasilica
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Estrela Amadora 2-1 Sporting Braga result, stats and report

Estrela Amadora
Won · xG 0.68
2 – 1
FT 16:05
Lost · xG 0.72
Sporting Braga
Next: Estrela Amadora v Benfica · Sun 8 Nov · Rio Ave v Sporting Braga · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Estrela AmadoraSporting BragaLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Sporting Braga win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

EST
22.5%
Draw
25.7%
SBR
51.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.5%
Over 2.5 goals
45.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Sporting Braga win was the highest probability; the match result was Estrela Amadora win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

23%
26%
52%
22.5%EST
25.7%Draw
51.8%SBR

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 47.5%No 52.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

45%
Yes 45.4%No 54.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
24%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
12.6%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
7.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SBR or draw at 61.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 1.5%.

Double Chance

1X
29.4%
12
9.0%
X2
61.6%

Half-Time Result

EST
15.7%
Draw
43.5%
SBR
40.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
EST
Draw
SBR
EST
8.4%
4.0%
4.0%
Draw
6.7%
16.6%
19.9%
SBR
1.2%
4.0%
35.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
1.5%
No
98.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.