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Liga Portugal · MW5Ref: Fabio Verssimo
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Estoril 0-0 Arouca result, stats and report

Estoril
Drew · xG 0.32
0 – 0
FT 19:35
Drew · xG 0.58
Arouca
Next: Estoril v Moreirense · Sun 25 Oct · Alverca v Arouca · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Estoril vs Arouca?

Estoril 0-0 Arouca, full time in Liga Portugal. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Estoril winning 0, Arouca winning 2 and 0 drawn.

How it played out

Goalless at full time

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 6 · 19:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Estoril 0–0 Arouca

Estoril created plenty but converted nothing, and Arouca's goalkeeper kept them out with eight saves as a goalless draw left the home side still searching for a first Liga Portugal win.

Key Takeaways
Result

Estoril and Arouca drew 0-0.

Goals

No goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Estoril 0.32 xGArouca 0.58 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Estoril to win

41%Missed

Result

Estoril0:0Arouca

ETR v ARO

Our model leaned Estoril to win at 41%. Estoril 0-0 Arouca. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Estoril and Arouca played to a goalless draw in Liga Portugal. Our model backed an Estoril win at 41% probability; the pick missed. Estoril's recent form has been poor, posting no wins in their last five matches alongside a 60% both-teams-to-score rate. Arouca arrived with better momentum at two wins in five, though they managed just 40% BTTS in that span. The teams have met twice before, with Arouca winning both encounters. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Estoril v Arouca · Liga Portugal ·

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions · Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Ignacio de ArruabarrenaARO★ MOTM90 min8.7
  2. José FontánARO90 min7.5
  3. Boris PopovićARO90 min7.3
  4. Pablo GozálbezARO75 min7.2
  5. Taichi FukuiARO90 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Estoril win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ETR
41.0%
Draw
26.3%
ARO
32.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.4%
Over 2.5 goals
54.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Estoril win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Estoril and Arouca, landing 4 times across 17 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 12/17recorded league meetings saw both teams score (70.6%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2league matches at home unbeaten for Estoril.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Estoril scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Arouca scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Estoril have averaged 0.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Arouca have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Tiago Parreira Parente has the highest listed average xGOT for Estoril at 0.80 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Iván Barbero has the highest listed average xGOT for Arouca at 0.44 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Estoril vs Arouca?
    ETR and ARO drew 0-0 in the Liga Portugal.
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Fabio Verssimo officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    ETR vs ARO kicked off on Monday, 7 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    ETR play Estoril on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. ARO play Alverca on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.