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La Liga · MW9 Stage Front Stadium, Cornella de LlobregatRef: Alejandro José Hernández Hernández
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Espanyol 0-1 Atletico Madrid result, stats and report

Espanyol
Lost · xG 0.54
0 – 1
FT 01:35
Won · xG 1.39
Atletico Madrid
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Athletic Club v Espanyol · Fri 20 Nov · Atletico Madrid v Barcelona · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

EspanyolAtletico MadridLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Atletico Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 50.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Espanyol
24.4%
Draw
25.4%
Atletico Madrid
50.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.2%
Over 2.5 goals
48.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Atletico Madrid win was the highest probability; the match result was Atletico Madrid win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

24%
25%
50%
24.4%Espanyol
25.4%Draw
50.2%Atletico Madrid

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 50.2%No 49.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 48.8%No 51.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
7.6%
1-0
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Atletico Madrid or draw at 51.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.6%.

Double Chance

1X
41.0%
12
7.6%
X2
51.3%

Half-Time Result

Espanyol
26.9%
Draw
40.8%
Atletico Madrid
32.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Espanyol
Draw
Atletico Madrid
Espanyol
17.6%
5.4%
2.7%
Draw
11.0%
15.0%
15.2%
Atletico Madrid
2.1%
6.7%
24.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.6%
No
97.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.