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Serie B · MW6Ref: Livio Marinelli
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Empoli 2-4 Palermo result, stats and report

Empoli
Lost · xG 1.91
2 – 4
FT 04:25
Won · xG 4.37
Palermo
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Empoli v Pisa · Sat 21 Nov · Catanzaro v Palermo · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

EmpoliPalermoSerie B

The provider forecast gives Palermo win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

EMP
32.9%
Draw
28.7%
PAL
38.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.1%
Over 2.5 goals
42.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Palermo win was the highest probability; the match result was Palermo win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

33%
29%
38%
32.9%EMP
28.7%Draw
38.4%PAL

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.1%No 50.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

43%
Yes 42.9%No 57.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
22%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates PAL or draw at 46.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 46.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.0%.

Double Chance

1X
43.6%
12
9.9%
X2
46.5%

Half-Time Result

EMP
26.3%
Draw
46.9%
PAL
26.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
EMP
Draw
PAL
EMP
18.1%
5.1%
2.4%
Draw
12.9%
19.6%
14.1%
PAL
1.7%
5.8%
20.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.0%
No
97.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.