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Serie B · MW6Ref: Livio Marinelli
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Empoli 2-4 Palermo result, stats and report

Empoli
Lost · xG 1.91
2 – 4
FT 04:25
Won · xG 4.37
Palermo
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Calcio Padova v Empoli · Sat 7 Nov
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Who won Empoli vs Palermo?

Empoli 2-4 Palermo, full time in Serie B. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

PAL won it 4–2

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 04:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Empoli 2–4 Palermo

Palermo arrive at Empoli on Saturday full of confidence after four straight Serie B wins, but the hosts have quietly tightened up and will not roll over. This one matters.

Key Takeaways
Result

Palermo won 4-2 away at Empoli.

Goals

6 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Empoli 1.91 to Palermo 4.37 on expected goals.

First Goal
J
57'⚽
Joel Pohjanpalo
MAssist: Mattia Bani
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Empoli 1.91 xGPalermo 4.37 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Palermo to win

38%Matched

Result

Empoli2:4Palermo

EMP v PAL

Our model called Palermo to win at 38%. Empoli 2-4 Palermo. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Empoli host Palermo in Serie B on Saturday, 10 October at 13:00 UTC. Empoli have won one of their last five matches but conceded in four straight; Palermo are winless in five but show similar attacking vulnerability. Both sides have hit both goals in 60% of recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Empoli v Palermo · Serie B ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Dominic VavassoriPAL★ MOTM90 min7.5
  2. Tommaso CassandroPAL1 goal · 90 min7.5
  3. Bogdan PopovEMP1 goal · 90 min7.3
  4. Stiven ShpendiEMP19 min7.0
  5. Edoardo SaporitiEMP1 goal · 90 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Palermo win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

EMP
32.9%
Draw
28.7%
PAL
38.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.1%
Over 2.5 goals
42.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Palermo win was the highest probability; the match result was Palermo win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Palermo, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 18 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Palermo, the final recorded goal situation matched 16 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Empoli, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 18 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Empoli, the final recorded goal situation matched 9 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Empoli and Palermo, landing once across 5 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 4/5recorded league meetings saw both teams score (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 42league matches at home unbeaten for Empoli.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for Palermo.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Empoli scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Palermo scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Empoli vs Palermo?
    PAL beat EMP 4-2 in the Serie B.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Edoardo Saporiti opened the scoring in the 50th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Edoardo Saporiti (50'), Joel Pohjanpalo (57'), Antonio Palumbo (65'), Dennis Johnsen (69'), Bogdan Popov (79'), Tommaso Cassandro (88').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Livio Marinelli officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    EMP vs PAL kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    6 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    EMP play Calcio Padova on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.