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Elche 2-3 Real Sociedad, full time in La Liga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Elche winning 0, Real Sociedad winning 1 and 1 drawn.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Real Sociedad looked to be cruising after Job Ochieng and Yangel Herrera put them two up inside 31 minutes, but Elche came back through Thomas Lemar and Fer Niño to earn a share of the spoils.
Real Sociedad looked to be cruising after Job Ochieng and Yangel Herrera put them two up inside 31 minutes, but Elche came back through Thomas Lemar and Fer Niño to earn a share of the spoils.
La LigaMon 7 Sept, 20:30
Key Takeaways
Result
Real Sociedad won 3-2 away at Elche.
Goals
5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
First Goal
J
11'⚽
Job Ochieng
CAssist: Carlos Soler
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Elche 0.59 xGReal Sociedad 0.59 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Elche to win
43%Missed
Result
2:3
Elche v Real Sociedad
Our model leaned Elche to win at 43%. Elche 2-3 Real Sociedad. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Real Sociedad won 3-2 at Elche in a match where our model favored the hosts at 43 percent probability; that pick missed. Both sides scored in the encounter, extending Elche's run of both-teams-scoring fixtures to five consecutive matches. Real Sociedad claimed three points despite Elche's recent form showing two draws mixed among three losses over five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Elche win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.6%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
Elche
42.6%
Draw
28.4%
Real Sociedad
29.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.9%
Over 2.5 goals
47.2%
Full-time forecast audit: Elche win was the highest probability; the match result was Real Sociedad win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
La Liga· published 04:25lost
Under 2.5 goals
Logged at 2.14 with Betfair Exchange
Betfair Exchange offered 2.14 when we checked at 01:05 on 7 Sept.
Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record bf5d5c35-8456-411d-bf04-22aeda6765cb · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.