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La Liga · MW4 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, ElcheRef: Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Elche 2-3 Real Sociedad result, stats and report

Elche
Lost · xG 0.59
2 – 3
FT 20:15
Won · xG 0.59
Real Sociedad
Next: Villarreal v Elche · Sat 17 Oct · Union Saint-Gilloise v Real Sociedad · Thu 15 Oct
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Who won Elche vs Real Sociedad?

Elche 2-3 Real Sociedad, full time in La Liga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Elche winning 0, Real Sociedad winning 1 and 1 drawn.

How it played out

Real Sociedad won it 3–2

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 8 · 20:15Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad looked to be cruising after Job Ochieng and Yangel Herrera put them two up inside 31 minutes, but Elche came back through Thomas Lemar and Fer Niño to earn a share of the spoils.

Key Takeaways
Result

Real Sociedad won 3-2 away at Elche.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
11'⚽
Job Ochieng
CAssist: Carlos Soler
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Elche 0.59 xGReal Sociedad 0.59 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Elche to win

43%Missed

Result

Elche2:3Real Sociedad

Elche v Real Sociedad

Our model leaned Elche to win at 43%. Elche 2-3 Real Sociedad. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Real Sociedad won 3-2 at Elche in a match where our model favored the hosts at 43 percent probability; that pick missed. Both sides scored in the encounter, extending Elche's run of both-teams-scoring fixtures to five consecutive matches. Real Sociedad claimed three points despite Elche's recent form showing two draws mixed among three losses over five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Elche v Real Sociedad · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Unai MarreroReal Sociedad★ MOTM90 min8.6
  2. Luka SucicReal Sociedad1 goal · 90 min8.1
  3. Fer Niño1 goal · 90 min7.8
  4. Yangel Herrera1 goal · 70 min7.5
  5. Lucas CepedaElche20 min7.5

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Elche win the highest 1X2 probability at 42.6%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Elche
42.6%
Draw
28.4%
Real Sociedad
29.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.9%
Over 2.5 goals
47.2%

Full-time forecast audit: Elche win was the highest probability; the match result was Real Sociedad win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP

SportSignals Tip settlement

Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
La Liga· published 04:25lost
Under 2.5 goals

Logged at 2.14 with Betfair Exchange

Betfair Exchange offered 2.14 when we checked at 01:05 on 7 Sept.

Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.

Publication provenance
  • Immutable Tips ledger · record bf5d5c35-8456-411d-bf04-22aeda6765cb · model publication version not recorded

Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.

Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Elche and Real Sociedad, landing 2 times across 11 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3/11recorded league meetings saw both teams score (27.3%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 22league matches at home unbeaten for Elche.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Elche scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Real Sociedad scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Elche have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Real Sociedad have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Fer Niño has the highest listed average xGOT for Elche at 0.66 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Elche vs Real Sociedad?
    Real Sociedad beat Elche 3-2 in the La Liga at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Job Ochieng opened the scoring in the 11th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Job Ochieng (11'), Yangel Herrera (31'), Thomas Lemar (67'), Fer Niño (74'), Luka Sucic (90').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Elche vs Real Sociedad kicked off on Monday, 7 September 2026 UK time at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    13 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Elche play Villarreal on Saturday, 17 October 2026 UK time. Real Sociedad play Union Saint-Gilloise on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.