Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
La Liga · MW6 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, ElcheRef: Jesús Gil Manzano
Full time

Elche 2-3 Real Madrid result, stats and report

Elche
Lost · xG 1.50
2 – 3
FT
Won · xG 2.81
Real Madrid
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ElcheReal MadridLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Real Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Elche
18.2%
Draw
22.4%
Real Madrid
59.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.5%
Over 2.5 goals
54.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

18%
22%
59%
18.2%Elche
22.4%Draw
59.4%Real Madrid

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.5%No 48.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 54.7%No 45.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
11.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.4%
0-0
6.8%
0-3
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Real Madrid or draw at 57.6%; the most likely half-time state is Real Madrid leading at half-time at 41.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.2%.

Double Chance

1X
35.6%
12
6.8%
X2
57.6%

Half-Time Result

Elche
23.7%
Draw
35.1%
Real Madrid
41.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Elche
Draw
Real Madrid
Elche
13.8%
4.1%
4.0%
Draw
7.6%
13.7%
15.7%
Real Madrid
1.7%
5.4%
33.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.2%
No
97.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.