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La Liga · MW6 Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, ElcheRef: Jesús Gil Manzano
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Elche 2-3 Real Madrid result, stats and report

Elche
Elche
Lost · xG 1.50
2 – 3
FT
Real Madrid
Won · xG 2.81
Real Madrid
Match review
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Elche vs Real Madrid: what we can confirm

Elche vs Real Madrid has finished in La Liga. Played UK time.

Match Review · published 15 Sept 2026, 22:40 BST

Real Madrid Edge Elche 3-2 in Five-Goal La Liga Thriller

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Real Madrid left it late at Elche, with substitute Carlos Espí scoring in stoppage time to seal a 3-2 win that Elche made them work hard for. Connor Maguire has no patience for how close this was.

Read the review
How it played out

Real Madrid won it 3–2

ElcheReal Madrid
HT
Provider final · 07:05 · archive check in progressFull stats

The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.

📊 Match recap and data context

Real Madrid won 3-2 at Elche in La Liga, landing our model's 59% pick for a Madrid victory. An own goal by Dituro in the 25th minute gave Madrid an early advantage, and Mbappé added a second in the 33rd. Elche pulled one back through Osorio in the 71st but could not find an equalizer despite both sides continuing to create chances. Madrid's win extended their recent record against Elche. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Elche v Real Madrid · La Liga ·

More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Kylian MbappéReal Madrid★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.2
  2. Arda GülerReal Madrid68 min7.6
  3. Yan Diomande1 assist · 90 min7.6
  4. Carlos Espí1 goal · 3 min7.5
  5. Abiel Osorio1 goal · 90 min7.3

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ElcheReal MadridLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Real Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 59.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Elche
18.2%
Draw
22.4%
Real Madrid
59.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.5%
Over 2.5 goals
54.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

No alternative Tips are published right now

This fixture has ended. The public ledger and methodology remain available for the final pre-match decision.

View the Tips ledgerHow Tips qualify
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-2is the most common scoreline between Elche and Real Madrid, landing 2 times across 12 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8/12recorded league meetings saw both teams score (66.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 21league matches at home unbeaten for Elche.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 40league matches away from home unbeaten for Real Madrid.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Elche scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Real Madrid scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Elche have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Real Madrid have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Fer Niño has the highest listed average xGOT for Elche at 0.77 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Kylian Mbappé has the highest listed average xGOT for Real Madrid at 0.86 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Elche vs Real Madrid?
    Real Madrid beat Elche 3-2 in the La Liga at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Matías Dituro opened the scoring in the 25th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Matías Dituro (25', og), Kylian Mbappé (33'), Abiel Osorio (71'), Fer Niño (83'), Carlos Espí (91').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Jesús Gil Manzano officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Elche vs Real Madrid kicked off on Tuesday, 15 September 2026 UK time at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.