This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.
Derby 0-1 Stoke City result, stats and report
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Derby win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- Derby
- 37.0%
- Draw
- 27.1%
- Stoke City
- 35.8%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 52.3%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46.5%
Full-time forecast audit: Derby win was the highest probability; the match result was Stoke City win.
Forecast result checked ·
Evidence and authority
- Provider forecast
- Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
- SportSignals transformation
- We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
- Market consensus
- Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
- Tip and Plus value
- A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
| Market | Result |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | lost |
| Half-time / full-time | lost |
| Half-time result | won |
| Over 1.5 goals | lost |
| Over 2.5 goals | won |
| Over 3.5 goals | won |
| Full-time result | lost |
| Double chance | lost |
| Correct score | lost |
| Both teams to score in both halves | won |
Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.
Match Probabilities
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Markets
Most Likely Correct Scores
More markets
On the double chance our model rates Derby or draw at 50.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.8%.
Double Chance
Half-Time Result
Half-Time / Full-Time
BTTS in Both Halves
Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.