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EFL Championship · MW11 Pride Park Stadium, Derby

Derby vs Stoke City prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
17 Oct
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Derby or Stoke City?

Derby vs Stoke City kicks off UK time in the EFL Championship. The match is at Pride Park Stadium, Derby. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Derby winning 2, Stoke City winning 0 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Derby v Stoke City: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
6.0
xG for
5 -1.0
Goals
12.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
5.3
xG · 5/6
10
Goals
5.9
xGA
Last 6 matches
DerbyNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Derby recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L11.18
2L01.37
3L00.15
4W20.70
5L00.82
6D21.81
Stoke CityNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6

Stoke City recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.57
2D10.92
3W41.96
4W10.18
5L10.63
6D1Unavailable
Derby have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 4 points against 5.2 expected. Stoke City have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 6.5 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Derby generated 6.0 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 5, 1.0 below that chance total. Stoke City generated 5.3 xG across 5 of their last 6 matches with xG data and scored 9, 3.7 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Derby: 6 matches · Stoke City: 6
Recent team comparison. Derby sample 6; Stoke City sample 6.
MeasureDerbyStoke City
Goals / game0.831.67
Conceded / game1.831.17
xG / game11.06
xG conceded / game2.131.18
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 5 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Derby v Stoke City

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~14:00
Derby11 starters
1Zetterström
6Langås
28Sanderson
20Elder
42Clark
19Szmodics
51Thompson
29Fraulo
27Travis
25Díaz
9Morris
Stoke City11 starters
31Bazunu
23Gibson
5Griffin
3Cresswell
16Wilmot
10Bae
59Kelly
9Kyremeh
4Otegbayo
8Baker
49Smit
Out / doubtful
No recorded injuries or doubts for either side.
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Derby v Stoke City · EFL Championship ·

More from this competition: EFL Championship predictions · EFL Championship odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Derby vs Stoke City?
    Derby vs Stoke City takes place on Saturday 17 October at 15:00 (UK time) in the EFL Championship at Pride Park Stadium, Derby.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Stoke City?
    In their last 2 meetings, Derby won 2, Stoke City won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 0 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Derby vs Stoke City?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for EFL Championship coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Derby vs Stoke City free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Derby vs Stoke City are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 17 Oct, 15:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.