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Carabao Cup Pride Park Stadium, DerbyRef: Joshua Smith
Full time

Score only for this match. No live commentary or in-play prices were available.

Derby 1-2 Lincoln City result, stats and report

Derby
Lost · xG 0.75
1 – 2
FT
Won · xG 1.41
Lincoln City
Next: Millwall v Derby · Sat 31 Oct · Lincoln City v Birmingham · Sat 31 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Derby vs Lincoln City?

Derby 1-2 Lincoln City, full time in the Carabao Cup. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land.

How it played out

LNC won it 2–1

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 1 · 18:07Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Derby 1–2 Lincoln City

Lincoln City produced a ruthlessly efficient performance at Pride Park, scoring twice in the first half to eliminate Derby from the Carabao Cup despite Derby controlling 71 percent of the ball. The statistics behind this result tell a story that the scoreline alone cannot.

Key Takeaways
Result

Lincoln City won 2-1 away at Derby.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
B
3'⚽
Ben House
IAssist: Ivan Varfolomeev
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Derby 0.75 xGLincoln City 1.41 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Lincoln City to win

40%Matched

Result

Derby1:2Lincoln City

Derby v LNC

Our model called Lincoln City to win at 40%. Derby 1-2 Lincoln City. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Derby have won two of their last five matches but lost three, with both teams scoring in 80 percent of those games. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Derby v Lincoln City · Carabao Cup ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Ben House★ MOTM1 goal · 79 min7.7
  2. Deji Elerewe90 min7.5
  3. Sammie SzmodicsDerby1 goal · 80 min7.4
  4. Ivan Varfolomeev1 assist · 90 min7.4
  5. Carlton MorrisDerby90 min7.2
Timeline

Key moments

Full timeline
  1. 3'Ben House · LNC
  2. 23'Dom Jefferies · LNC
  3. 45+1'Sammie Szmodics · Derby
  4. 46'Dion Sanderson · Derby
  5. 63'Max Johnston · Derby

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Pre-match facts retained

The immutable pre-match Match Facts snapshot is still being reconciled. Current provider rows are not substituted into the completed-match archive.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Derby vs Lincoln City?
    LNC beat Derby 2-1 in the Carabao Cup at Pride Park Stadium.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Ben House opened the scoring in the 3rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Ben House (3'), Dom Jefferies (23'), Sammie Szmodics (46').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 3 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Joshua Smith officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Derby vs LNC kicked off on Saturday, 8 August 2026 UK time at Pride Park Stadium.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Derby play Millwall on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time. LNC play Lincoln City on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.