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Carabao Cup Selhurst Park, LondonRef: Tony Harrington
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Crystal Palace 3-0 Middlesbrough result, stats and report

Crystal Palace
Won · xG 1.08
3 – 0
FT 17:25
Lost · xG 1.07
Middlesbrough
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Crystal Palace v Newcastle United · Sun 25 Oct · Middlesbrough v Charlton · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?

Crystal Palace 3-0 Middlesbrough, full time in the Carabao Cup. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Middlesbrough to win, which did not land.

Editorial publication status

No Match Review published

The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.

How it played out

Crystal Palace won it 3–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 17:25Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Crystal Palace 3–0 Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough travel to Selhurst Park on Tuesday night with two wins from their last three Carabao Cup outings. Crystal Palace have a point to prove on their own patch.

Key Takeaways
Result

Crystal Palace beat Middlesbrough 3-0 at home.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
37'⚽
Jørgen Strand Larsen2 goals in match
ÓAssist: Óscar Mingueza
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Crystal Palace 1.08 xGMiddlesbrough 1.07 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Middlesbrough to win

52%Missed

Result

Crystal Palace3:0Middlesbrough

Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough

Our model leaned Middlesbrough to win at 52%. Crystal Palace 3-0 Middlesbrough. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Crystal Palace beat Middlesbrough 3-0 at Selhurst Park in the Carabao Cup. Our model favoured Middlesbrough to win at 52 per cent probability, but the pick missed as Palace dominated. Despite Palace's recent form showing one win in five matches and Middlesbrough arriving unbeaten in two of their last five, the hosts controlled the contest decisively. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough · Carabao Cup ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Jørgen Strand Larsen★ MOTM2 goals · 1 assist · 73 min8.9
  2. Óscar Mingueza1 assist · 90 min7.7
  3. Aidan MorrisMiddlesbrough84 min7.5
  4. Ben Chilwell1 assist · 90 min7.5
  5. Walter BenítezCrystal Palace90 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Middlesbrough win the highest 1X2 probability at 52.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Crystal Palace
24.3%
Draw
23.7%
Middlesbrough
52.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.0%
Over 2.5 goals
56.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Middlesbrough win was the highest probability; the match result was Crystal Palace win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Crystal Palace and Middlesbrough, landing once across 1 league meeting on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 3league matches at home unbeaten for Crystal Palace.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 7league matches away from home unbeaten for Middlesbrough.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Crystal Palace scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Middlesbrough scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Crystal Palace have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Middlesbrough have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Will Lankshear has the highest listed average xGOT for Middlesbrough at 0.77 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
    Crystal Palace beat Middlesbrough 3-0 in the Carabao Cup at Selhurst Park.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jørgen Strand Larsen opened the scoring in the 37th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jørgen Strand Larsen (37'), Jørgen Strand Larsen (53'), Daichi Kamada (72').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Tony Harrington officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough kicked off on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 UK time at Selhurst Park.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Middlesbrough to win, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Crystal Palace play Newcastle United on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. Middlesbrough play Charlton on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.