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Premier League · MW2 Selhurst Park, LondonRef: Andy Madley
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Crystal Palace 1-4 Manchester City result, stats and report

Crystal Palace
Lost · xG 0.62
1 – 4
FT
Won · xG 1.72
Manchester City
Next: Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest · Sun 11 Oct · Liverpool v Manchester City · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Crystal PalaceManchester CityPremier League

The provider forecast gives Manchester City win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Crystal Palace
29.0%
Draw
25.3%
Manchester City
45.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.1%
Over 2.5 goals
50.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

29%
25%
46%
29.0%Crystal Palace
25.3%Draw
45.7%Manchester City

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 52.1%No 47.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.9%No 49.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.4%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.7%
1-0
7.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Manchester City or draw at 46.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.6%.

Double Chance

1X
45.9%
12
7.7%
X2
46.4%

Half-Time Result

Crystal Palace
26.7%
Draw
40.0%
Manchester City
33.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Crystal Palace
Draw
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
19.0%
5.2%
2.7%
Draw
11.7%
15.0%
12.7%
Manchester City
2.6%
5.4%
25.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.6%
No
96.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.