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Carabao Cup The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West MidlandsRef: Robert Jones
Full time

Coventry 1-3 Aston Villa result, stats and report

Coventry
Lost · xG 0.90
1 – 3
FT
Won · xG 2.20
Aston Villa
Next: Nottingham Forest v Coventry · Sat 19 Sept · Tottenham Hotspur v Aston Villa · Sat 19 Sept
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

CoventryAston VillaCarabao Cup

The provider forecast gives Coventry win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Coventry
43.3%
Draw
23.7%
Aston Villa
33.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.2%
Over 2.5 goals
58.3%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
24%
33%
43.3%Coventry
23.7%Draw
33.0%Aston Villa

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 58.2%No 41.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 58.3%No 41.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
6.6%
2-0
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Coventry or draw at 49.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.2%.

Double Chance

1X
49.6%
12
5.4%
X2
45.0%

Half-Time Result

Coventry
31.6%
Draw
40.1%
Aston Villa
28.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Coventry
Draw
Aston Villa
Coventry
23.8%
4.6%
2.5%
Draw
14.3%
14.4%
11.4%
Aston Villa
2.7%
5.1%
21.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.2%
No
91.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.